惊天解密
“简拉维”刚走“沙德尔”接棒 周五对杭州影响最明显_我的网站

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Airborne troops from China and Belarus take part in the opening ceremony for the Swift Eagle 2026 joint training exercise at a Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force training center on August 12, 2026. Photo: Screenshot from PLA Air Force Sina Weibo accountThe Swift Eagle 2026 joint training for airborne troops from China and Belarus commenced on Wednesday with an opening ceremony at a Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force training center, according to the Xinhua News Agency.
Focusing on "joint counter-terrorism operations in urban terrain," the training will focus on subjects such as surveillance and counter-surveillance, seizure-and-control and protection, and elimination and defense, Xinhua reported.
In addition, the two sides will organize seminars, friendly football matches and cultural exchange activities during the joint training, said the report.
As the fourth iteration, the joint training will help enhance the combat capabilities of the participating troops and deepen substantive cooperation between the two militaries, said Xinhua.
While details on the equipment deployed by both sides have not yet been disclosed, Wang Yanan, editor-in-chief of Beijing-based Aerospace Knowledge magazine, told the Global Times on Thursday that Belarus is likely to follow its traditional practices, focusing on low-altitude small-scale airborne operations, possibly using Il-76 large transport aircraft, while China may deploy Y-9 or Y-20 transport aircraft for low-altitude delivery.
The joint training is not a one-way learning exercise, but rather a process of building a cooperative foundation and familiarizing both sides with each other's operational habits in the counter-terrorism domain, Wang said.
While China has made significant progress in counter-terrorism and maintaining stability in recent years, the expert said, airborne troops have been rarely used in counter-terrorism operations, as local police and armed police forces are generally sufficient to handle such situations.
Airborne troops are better suited for special counter-terrorism scenarios, such as large-scale counter-terrorism operations or cases where terrorists have occupied urban building complexes and need to be forcibly removed. This joint training likely simulates such scenarios, Wang said.
The previous iteration of the Swift Eagle series airborne joint counter-terrorism training between China and Belarus took place in 2015.
In June 2015, a PLA Air Force spokesperson announced that China had dispatched an airborne special operations detachment to Belarus to participate in the Swift Eagle 2015 joint counter-terrorism training.
According to China Military Online, the training followed the 2011 and 2012 joint exercises between the two countries' airborne forces, again focusing on joint counter-terrorism operations.
The spokesperson noted that Belarus is a traditional friendly country to China.
Conducting joint airborne training with Belarus helps consolidate traditional bilateral friendship, deepen practical exchanges and cooperation between the two militaries, and enrich the content of the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries.
Wang noted that Belarus, located to China's west, and China share a common long-term interest in discussing counter-terrorism.
After a hiatus of several years, the resumption of the Swift Eagle joint training provides an opportunity to promote in-depth cooperation in defense and mutual trust, serving as a point of common interest for both sides.
Wang noted that the PLA's domestic training exercises have undergone profound changes in recent years.
For example, the documentary series
Zhìshèng (
Victory) broadcast in early August, showed training conducted with a no-script model, with both sides engaging in free-form confrontations and evaluating results based on actual combat performance, promoting the integration of personnel and equipment systems to generate new operational capabilities. This model has already produced notable results.
More broadly, Wang said, recent joint exercises between the PLA Air Force and foreign militaries have yielded multiple benefits, primarily on two levels.
First, they lay the groundwork for potential future joint operations, whether in counter-terrorism, maintaining stability or major international security issues, as mutual familiarity is essential for effective cooperation.
Second, joint exercises themselves contribute to regional stability. When friendly countries in the region reach consensus on security issues and conduct regular military cooperation, it has a stabilizing effect on regional security.
Overall, the PLA is building a more open and flexible military cooperation framework through both enhanced domestic combat-oriented training and expanded international joint exercises, Wang said.
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二 | 为什么今年台风偏爱华东?副高是幕后推手每日商报讯 昨天,作为出伏的第一天,杭州气温也很应景,主城区最高温从此前的接近“高温线”降至32.6℃,随着“简拉维”残余环流进一步减弱西进,今天杭州的气温会比昨天小幅升高,可能会触及高温线。

三 | 不过,比起气温来说,更需要关注的是台风动向。接下来,“简拉维”影响减弱,但“沙德尔”又要“接棒”登场,浙江省防指防台风应急响应昨天已调整为Ⅲ级。其实,回顾过去一周,四个台风接连生成,第20号台风“简拉维”于周一减弱消散,第21号台风“艾莎尼”也在昨天停编,第19号台风“紫檀”登陆海南省昌江县后、强度逐渐减弱,第18号台风“沙德尔”继续活跃。对于浙江来说,需要注意这个遥远的“海上来客”——“沙德尔”。

四 | 目前,已进入48小时警戒线。据中央气象台消息,“沙德尔”(强台风级)的中心昨天下午5点钟位于浙闽交界偏东方向约920公里的西北太平洋洋面上,中心附近最大风力14级(45米/秒),预计将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西偏北方向移动,强度变化不大,今天凌晨移入东海东部,之后移速减慢,转向西偏南方向移动,逐渐向浙闽沿海靠近,将于27日夜间至28日上午在浙江象山到福建福清一带沿海登陆(35-42米/秒,12-14级,台风级或强台风级)。“从昨天云图看,‘艾莎尼’的残涡已经汇入‘沙德尔’的输入云带。未来沙德尔在北侧的副热带高压引导下,以西行为主,相比之前预报总体有北调趋势。

五 | ”中国天气网首席气象分析师信欣分析,目前对于台风临近华东的预报还有些分歧,主要是陆地上西环高压对台风向西南引导的力度还不好确认,登陆我国没悬念,只是到底是登陆浙江还是福建,仍然待定。回顾今年的台风发展,似乎“旋风小子”偏爱华东,这是为什么?中国天气网解释,这是由于副热带高压的偏强、偏北,为远洋台风“巴威”“白海豚”扎堆华东,打开了“方便”之门。如果按常年副热带高压正常位置来看,它们大可能去的是广东、福建、台湾。对于当下的台风“沙德尔”来说,此时副热带高压本该大幅南撤或主体退回海上,结果现在仍持续偏西偏北,导致“沙德尔”登陆区域仍集中在浙闽沿海,而不是更偏南的区域。受“沙德尔”影响,浙江接下来也将迎来明显风雨影响。浙江天气网显示,今明天,东海中南部海域风力逐渐增强到11~13级部分14~16级,台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达17级及以上。浙中南沿海海面今天傍晚起风力逐渐增强到9~10级,明后天继续增强到12~13级、局部14~16级;浙北沿海海面明天风力逐渐增强到9~13级。沿海和浙南地区明后天有大雨暴雨,部分大暴雨,其中温州、台州、丽水东部等地局地特大暴雨。就杭州而言,“沙德尔”的影响会在明天开始体现,一直到周六,全市有一次风雨过程,风雨最强时段集中在周五(28日)。
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